The key clashes which are still remaining are given below except for the two matches of Argentina for which certain results are being assumed in this analysis. Listed below are the three possible outcomes of these 6 key matches.
Colombia win / Draw / Chile win
Ecuador win / Draw / Uruguay win
Venezuela win / Draw / Paraguay win
Paraguay win / Draw / Colombia win
Brazil win / Draw / Venezuela win
Chile win / Draw / Ecuador win
Now we will analyze this using two different point of views. Let's call them Case I and Case II.
Case I - Argentina do their worst ( win against Peru but lose to Uruguay ) and all other results go in a way that is to their maximum advantage.
Case II - Argentina do their best ( win both matches ) and all other results go in a way that is to their maximum disadvantage.
Case I
Assume Argentina - 22 + 3 + 0 = 25
Chile = 27 + 3 + 3 = 33
Ecuador = 23 + 1 + 0 = 24
Uruguay = 21 + 1 + 3 = 25
Venezuela = 21 + 0 + 0 = 21
Colombia = 20 + 0 + 0 = 20
The end results of this show that Argentina will be in 4th or 5th place i.e. they at least make the playoffs.
Case II
Assume Argentina - 22 + 3 + 3 = 28
Chile = 27 + 3 + 0 = 30
Ecuador = 23 + 3 + 3 = 29
Uruguay = 21 + 0 + 0 = 21
Venezuela = 21 + 3 + 3 = 27
Colombia = 20 + 0 + 3 = 23
The end results of this show that Argentina will be in 5th place i.e. they make the playoffs and not anything better. However if they were to even draw with Uruguay, a worst case scenario would completely eliminate them.
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